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Early voting
Kerry is leading by comfortable margins in polls of people who have already voted early in Iowa and Florida. Does that mean that real voters in those states are more pro-Kerry than the polls' estimated "likely voters", or is it just because Kerry voters are more motivated by tales of vote suppression to vote early?
Hard to say. In that article, Garance Franke-Ruta tells of heavy early voting even in strongly Republican Tennessee, and suggests that it illustrates that Dems fearing disenfranchisement aren't the only people with a powerful desire to vote early. I think that particular argument is a little too indirect to be tremendously convincing, but we'll know soon.
Hard to say. In that article, Garance Franke-Ruta tells of heavy early voting even in strongly Republican Tennessee, and suggests that it illustrates that Dems fearing disenfranchisement aren't the only people with a powerful desire to vote early. I think that particular argument is a little too indirect to be tremendously convincing, but we'll know soon.
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The actual election-night exit polls that you'll be seeing shortly are, I believe, being carried out this year by the Associated Press. Before now they came from an organization called Voter News Service, which seems to have imploded and died amid massive failures in the 2002 midterms.