mmcirvin: (Default)
mmcirvin ([personal profile] mmcirvin) wrote2006-04-16 07:34 am

The religion maps

Here is a set of maps of religious affiliation in the United States by county. (Michael Bacon says that they're "all over the blogosphere", but I guess I'm not as much on the ball as he is, since I just saw them now.)

Anyway, the maps are not so surprising except for the first one, which is extremely surprising if you imagine that American organized religiosity falls along red state/blue state lines, because it doesn't. There's basically a belt of heavy religious affiliation running north-south through the middle of the country from North Dakota to Texas, and a big unsurprising splotch of Mormons in Utah and eastern Idaho (though the rest of the Great Basin is pretty secular); but mildly liberal Minnesota and swing-state Missouri are about as religious as heavily Republican Nebraska, and Massachusetts far more so than Pat Robertson's stomping grounds in Tidewater Virginia! What's going on? Where did the Southeastern Bible Belt go?

I think Bacon's got it basically right: it's all about the dominance of different churches. In the Southeast, the Southern Baptists overwhelmingly dominate religious discourse and consequently are very powerful in spite of the overall moderate degree of religious practice. In most of the rest of the country, Catholics have a plurality, though in most places that's a mild illusion: Protestants are probably the majority, but are fragmented into different denominations. In the Northeast, the Catholics have a particularly strong presence (and generally have values that don't comfortably fall into American liberal/conservative categories), but there's a lot of other stuff going on too; around Boston there's a lot of activity in the extremely liberal UU and UCC churches, for instance.

I also think it's interesting that that actual Bible Belt running north/south through the middle is not made up of any one particular church; it's Lutherans up north, Southern Baptists in Oklahoma and Texas, and Catholics nearer the Mexican border.

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 04:58 am (UTC)(link)
...On the other hand, I don't cotton to a lot of the whining in the comments about how it all means liberal atheists should sit down and shut up. You'll notice that in my atheistical ways I don't go around attacking the UCC or liberal Lutherans. Even far more evangelical atheists than I typically don't do that; what would be the point?
jwgh: (Default)

[personal profile] jwgh 2006-04-16 05:29 am (UTC)(link)
Where are those comments? I don't think I'm looking in the right place.

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 05:38 am (UTC)(link)
Oh, I was overreacting a little; mostly in Thibaud's comment at the bottom of the Michael Bacon article. (Though I have heard that "The God Who Wasn't There" is a pretty crappy film.)
jwgh: (Default)

[personal profile] jwgh 2006-04-16 06:15 am (UTC)(link)
Oh, I see.
Suppose liberal secularists got together on Saturday or Sunday mornings to hear moving and energizing sermons on the progressive moral and even spiritual outlook; to network with like-minded friends and comrades; to recommit themselves emotionally to their cause; to experience heartfelt "conversion" or "rebirth" experiences; to sing uplifting and morally invigorating songs; to contribute money; to strengthen their sense of being part of a broader and more powerful community; to develop plans for proseletyzing others and converting them to the cause; and to confer on strategy.
Man, that would be creepy.
jwgh: (Default)

[personal profile] jwgh 2006-04-16 06:25 am (UTC)(link)
I suppose labor unions are a traditional non-creepy example of this. (I guess some people would disagree with me about whether or not unions are creepy, though.) I recorded an IWW song just the other day!

I'm not sure whether or not Robert Bly's 'expressive men's movement' has a religious component or not, and am also not sure how creepy it is. The Landmark foundation would be a creepy example of a secular group that does this kind of revival stuff.

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 06:27 am (UTC)(link)
I find the idea creepy too, but I wonder if that isn't a problem—not just with regard to religion, but a big problem for progressive politics in general.

By and large, American liberals and progressives just aren't joiners any more; we find big pep rallies and collective action suspect. When we do get involved in activism, there's a sense that it's an alliance of convenience on a specific issue; we want that freedom to back out and not be compelled to assent to everything the organization does and says.

But collective action in alliances is traditionally how you gather and wield power. And the conservative movement certainly knows a lot about how to keep people in if they don't necessarily sign onto everything the larger organization believes (that may be disintegrating now, but it'll take a long time). On the left, the liberal churches are the only organizations that are really good at this.

I'm not sure how to get around this. I recall Mark Schmitt wrestling with it some time ago, talking about how the decline of labor-union power was related to this decline of what he called membership-based organizations in favor of what he called transaction-based ones. Maybe it's possible to build transaction-based alliances that are effective, but so far the big problem seems to be that they fall apart once the cause of the moment passes.
jwgh: (Default)

[personal profile] jwgh 2006-04-16 06:35 am (UTC)(link)
The other thing I would say about this is that it seems like some (liberal secularists) use, or try to use, the web for this kind of thing -- writing 'moving and energizing sermons', networking with like-minded folks, recommitting themselves emotionally to their causes, developing plans for proseletyzing others, conferring on strategy. (And to a much lesser extent contributing money, although it tends to be to particular candidates rather than to a centralized organization. I don't know how singing songs applies on the web.) Of course this isn't restricted to progressives.

I think this will probably become more common, although I would hesistate to predict how effective or significant it will ever be in the larger political or social scene.

A lot of the stuff that gets written is distorted or kind of dumb, but I think that that is probably inevitable for this sort of thing (regardless of whether it is online or not).

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 07:30 am (UTC)(link)
YOU of all people don't know how singing songs applies on the web?

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 07:30 am (UTC)(link)
...sorry, couldn't resist; I know what you were getting at...
jwgh: (Default)

[personal profile] jwgh 2006-04-16 08:22 am (UTC)(link)
That's OK, you managed to confuse me anyway! (Are Interrobang Cartel songs an example of an Internet-mediated singalong?)

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 02:59 pm (UTC)(link)
Sort of! Also your podcasts, though they're sort of one-way.

Secular Humanist Religion

[identity profile] infrogmation.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 09:11 am (UTC)(link)
In meeting halls with stained glass windows of Bertrand Russell and Clarence Darrow.

Happy Darwin Day!
jwgh: (Default)

Re: Secular Humanist Religion

[personal profile] jwgh 2006-04-16 03:07 pm (UTC)(link)
In the room the women come and go
Talking of Clarence Darrow.

[identity profile] asienieizi.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 06:39 am (UTC)(link)
"What's going on? Where did the Southeastern Bible Belt go?"
I'm going to say a massive demographic shift that began taking place in the past 15 or so years, first noticed by meself during the first(2nd?) Bush election. I remember being gobsmacked when I saw the red/blue political map for the first time and I wondered what happened too.
When I'd lived in Oregon and Washington they were firmly Republic and now, that I5 corridor is now shown as Democratic Blue. I'm theorizing it's from the massive migration of ex-Californians who are usually Democrats.
BUT I HAVE NO PROOF! (other than the fact that I myself was one of those migrating Californicans.)
That reminds me: Upon first arriving in Idaho in 1985 I was greeted by many signs and bumper stickers that said:
"Welcome to Idaho, now go home" and " Don't Californicate Idaho".

[identity profile] http://users.livejournal.com/erasmus__/ 2006-04-16 10:44 am (UTC)(link)
In Oregon, in 1974, Governor McCall had official billboards that said "Thanks for visiting, now go home". I saw them.

[identity profile] rimrunner.livejournal.com 2006-04-18 10:19 am (UTC)(link)
That shift is still going on. I currently live and work in the Seattle area, but a non-trivial number of my mostly liberal, mostly secular (I mean, even those of us who are religious like to have our religion and our politics on separate plates) classmates from library school have recently moved to the South, many of them to southeastern states, because that's where the jobs are.

I don't know how much that's the case in other professions, but I wouldn't be surprised if those which rely on a population to serve in an intellectual capacity (teachers and librarians, for example) are expanding in such a way as to draw workers from outside the region. It'll be interesting to see what effect this has.

[identity profile] asienieizi.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 06:47 am (UTC)(link)
Oh right, I was going to mention my observations of the two main religions during my time spent living around New Orleans which were Southern Baptist and Catholic. I had expected Catholics to be the more politically conservative of the two but I was surprised that it was the other way around. The more conservative Baptists tended to be more Democratically inclined in their politics.

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 07:23 am (UTC)(link)
The influence of Catholicism is interesting because it's so hard to pigeonhole in the American political spectrum. We think of the church hierarchy these days as ultra-conservative because of the emphasis on sex-related issues, on which they definitely swing right by the usual definitions. But the church also has a strong pacifist and economically progressive strain.

And, of course, a lot of American Catholics are somewhere to the left of the church hierarchy on the sex-and-culture issues too. (But on the other hand, there are those conservative guys like Bork, Bennett, Brownback and Santorum who seem to be somewhere to the right of Opus Dei. Some of them are recent converts to Catholicism from various hardcore Protestant churches; it's an interesting and strange trend.)

Also, the variants practiced in Louisiana, in the Southwest, and in the Northeast may be somewhat different because of the different ethnic groups they're associated with.

[identity profile] piehead.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 07:32 am (UTC)(link)
The Catholic-political party mapping is indeed complicated.

I know plenty of conservative Catholics who are staunchly Republican and thank God for Bush. And I know plenty of liberal Catholics who are staunch Democrats and God damn Bush.

There's a range, and I've taken to thinking in terms of "Roman Catholics" and "American Catholics" (aka Catholics with Condoms.)

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 07:34 am (UTC)(link)
...hmm, what I thought was a "trend" may be largely just the influence of the Rev. John McCloskey (http://www.slate.com/id/2069194/).

Cat'lick

[identity profile] infrogmation.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 09:16 am (UTC)(link)
I was a bit surprised to see that Catholic was less than 50% in Orleans Parish. I wonder when that demographic shift happened.

The GOP has done a good job of making abortion a wedge issue with Catholics who otherwise agree more with the Democrats on most issues.

Re: Cat'lick

[identity profile] asienieizi.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 10:38 am (UTC)(link)
"I wonder when that demographic shift happened."
I'd dearly love to know myself. Maybe it's just me but lately I've been fascinated not by the shifts themselves, but rather how rapidly they are occurring. Right now as we speak Idaho has gone under an accelerated shift with a massive influx of relocation and building taking place which began almost as soon as I left just 2.5 years ago.
What's different this time around is that it's not just Californians, these are people coming in from _everywhere_and I wonder how fast the metro Boise area political maps will turn blue, (if they turn that is.) Should be interesting to see what happens as Idaho has always been a die hard red state.

Re: Cat'lick

[identity profile] piehead.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 11:08 am (UTC)(link)
At least one blog occassionally has posts lamenting the bluing of Idaho (Boise).
ext_8707: Taken in front of Carnegie Hall (anime - (c) 2002 jim vandewalker)

[identity profile] ronebofh.livejournal.com 2006-04-17 06:04 pm (UTC)(link)
HA HA HA CLAYTON CRAMER HA HA
ext_8707: Taken in front of Carnegie Hall (cornholio)

[identity profile] ronebofh.livejournal.com 2006-04-17 06:10 pm (UTC)(link)
Wow, i just looked in Google Groups and that nutbar is still active out there. He's definitely a dinosaur of Usenet conservative kookdom.

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-17 06:44 pm (UTC)(link)
I remember when he briefly joined Eugene Volokh's group blog. They parted ways when the rest of them decided that endless ranting about the gay menace wasn't part of their mission statement.

CLAYTON CRAMER

[identity profile] asienieizi.livejournal.com 2006-04-18 04:41 pm (UTC)(link)
I was um...going to say something but thought I better of it at the last minute. I cannot believe we now share the same state. Oy!

Re: Cat'lick

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 04:21 pm (UTC)(link)
Idaho is, I believe, traditionally the most Republican state, or close to it. The last time I was there was a few years ago now, and it already seemed like the Boise area was changing because of the local tech boom. They definitely seemed to want to differentiate themselves from Northern Idaho.

[identity profile] pompe.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 10:07 am (UTC)(link)
Hmm. The data is based upon what the _churches_ reported, not what citizens said or what observers counted. I wonder if that might make a difference and if that difference might be more pronounced in different parts of the nation.

I must say these numbers do seem extraordinarily high even accounting for what I as a foreigner would interpret as the distinct American religiousity so I wonder what they count as "adherents".* More than 75% of the population in some zones which must include sick, old, very young, people away from home, and just non-believers. More than 50% in what must be major cities.

As a Scando-atheist I also see that my completely prejudiced like of the Pacific Northwest is strengthened by the light color of that area... ,-)

*I'll give a local example of how weird numbers can be. Sweden is often in stats reported as being what, 80-90% Lutheran faith. That's a joke, because it is based upon how many people are members of the church, something you basically was by birth not long ago. It certainly does not mean 90% of Swedes 1) go to church or 2) believe in the Lutheran faith. Lots of people not believing in Lutheran Christianity has simply not bothered to leave or they like the church in their village and some of the stuff the church does, or they want to be able to marry for free. But they are not Lutherans or in many cases even believers in any sort of Christianity. Actual church-going rates are much lower, and even more so if you discount people who go to church by tradition twice a year at Christmas and Easter.

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 03:16 pm (UTC)(link)
Maybe. I know that a lot of churches have the dynamic where disaffected ex- or quasi-members complain that their beliefs aren't accepted as those of proper church members, yet the church continues to count them as adherents when it comes time to cite numbers.

Countries with some sort of established church, or a church that is in some sense the default, get a lot of the phenomenon you describe in which a lot of people are sort of nominal members but never darken the church door. Here, I mostly hear it with secular Catholics and Jews, who tend to regard their religion as akin to or part of an ethnic category: something you are rather than something you believe. These people probably get counted as Catholics and Jews in statistics, because they were born that way, but they're not particularly religious.

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 04:08 pm (UTC)(link)
...And, actually, come to think of it, I've heard a few secular Muslims talk the same way too.

[identity profile] pompe.livejournal.com 2006-04-17 08:17 am (UTC)(link)
Yeah, almost all my Jewish friends and at least half of the "Muslim" ones - don't know if they'd always like that categorization themselves - are non-religious. No faith (or at least no faith matching the organized religion), just tradition and a rather small piece of that tradition-identity too.

On the other hand, I guess religious concepts in a way stick and shape society and citizens regardless of their faith. I'm a fourth-generation atheist but I suspect I do have some Lutheran concepts shaping me and guiding me. Atheist Protestant?

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-17 06:39 pm (UTC)(link)
That reminds me of a story a while back about somebody visiting Northern Ireland who kept getting asked if he was a Protestant or a Catholic. He said he was an atheist and was immediately asked if he was a Protestant atheist or a Catholic atheist.

Though I was basically raised nonreligious (my parents sent me to Sunday school once or twice when I was a wee tot, I asked a lot of embarrassing questions, and they were pretty much lapsed anyway so they decided it was a bad idea), I figure the Yankee Baptist concepts of Soul Freedom and the Priesthood of Every Believer are ingrained somewhere deep in my brain firmware. You can try to figure out on your own whether that is inherently paradoxical or not.

[identity profile] rimrunner.livejournal.com 2006-04-18 10:25 am (UTC)(link)
As a Scando-atheist I also see that my completely prejudiced like of the Pacific Northwest is strengthened by the light color of that area

You wouldn't be the first, considering how many people of Scandinavian descent we have around here. :)

I work for a Lutheran educational institution in the region, and a highly liberal one. It's definitely a religious school, but does not require students or most employees to be Lutheran or even Christian (there are some obvious exceptions, such as the institutional pastor).

Chas Clifton's comment is interesting, but I think the omission he mentions may be explained by "the distribution of the larger and more regionally concentrated church bodies" characteristic of the source information. My own religion is too small, too weird, and too fragmented to be included, which is fine with me.

[identity profile] http://users.livejournal.com/erasmus__/ 2006-04-16 10:40 am (UTC)(link)
Thanks so much for doing this. Believe it or not, last night, drifting off to sleep, I was wondering about the comparative strength of Presbyterians and Methodists in NC and VA (Presbyterians stronger in VA?). And I thought I COULD search for hours on the internet and never find it. so I figured, fuggedaboutit.

And this morning, sitting waiting on my computer, here it is! (NC does appear a little more Methodist than VA by land area).


Tonight when I go to sleep I'm going to hope for world peace.

[identity profile] tomscud.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 12:59 pm (UTC)(link)
"Foolish Human! Your superior intellect is no match for our puny weapons!"

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 03:01 pm (UTC)(link)
I think I knew more Presbyterians in VA than Methodists. The Presbyterians I knew seemed very like Southern Baptists.

I knew that the Methodists have a fairly strong presence in PA, since when my grandparents moved there from Iowa, they converted from American Baptist to Methodist on the grounds that there was an easily accessible church. I guess doctrinal issues weren't paramount.

[identity profile] mmcirvin.livejournal.com 2006-04-16 04:40 pm (UTC)(link)
The other thing about these maps is that they're all plotted as fractions of total population, which can give a misleading impression of how people are distributed, especially when some counties are very sparsely populated and you color a county by the plurality leader. (This was famously an issue with the red/blue election maps.) It's not necessarily that there are more practicing church members in the middle of the continent, just that they're a larger fraction of the total.