mmcirvin: (Default)
[personal profile] mmcirvin
1. The early leaks of exit polls had bad sampling biases; CNN's final exit polls are a lot closer to the returns, except maybe in Nevada and New Mexico. Sorry, that's the way I'm seeing it. Kerry/Edwards shouldn't concede until the absentees and provos are counted in Ohio, but I don't see them getting a miracle and I don't see any obvious sign that the election was stolen. Republicans ran a really good, if hateful, GOTV campaign in Ohio and Florida, and Bush got a clear lead in the national popular vote; in the likely event that he wins it'll be because he got more votes than the other guy. Unfortunately this means that any meaningful electoral reform is probably going to have to come from the bottom up.

2. Screw bipartisanship. Democrats in Congress, etc. should use every clear and legal mechanism in their power to obstruct further obnoxious Republican initiatives (and they are essentially all obnoxious), even benignly named ones, and remind the country that whatever happens over the next four years belongs to the GOP. The tea leaves tell me that, in the age of Nancy Pelosi, this is exactly what they will do. The votes to start another impeachment circus aren't there, but they really ought to push forward on Abu Ghraib; there's no moral middle ground there.

3. I know a bunch of Bush supporters. They're not bad people; in general they're not stupid people. I would like them to watch closely over the next four years and consider if this was what they really wanted.

4. Leave the country if you want, I'm not gonna.

Date: 2004-11-04 05:40 am (UTC)
davetheinverted: (Default)
From: [personal profile] davetheinverted
Hadn't known that, and it's useful to know it. Honestly, though, it makes it worse: in 1996, my image of Bob Dole was not "warm, funny, sensible person," nor was it "guy who will kick ass and take names, who can lead this country." It was "really old and decrepit guy who's getting his shot because he's got seniority but who might not live out his first term." Assuming that this isn't some weird localized failure of perception on my part, that says to me that that campaign failed monumentally at getting its preferred image of Bob Dole out in front of people.

Dav2.718

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