Speaking of election maps...

[mmcirvin]

Dave Seip's historical presidential election atlas is a useful reference. (He also uses the opposite of the modern red/blue convention.)

Comments

[mmcirvin.livejournal.com]

There's also a section of the site that lets you post your state-by-state electoral predictions, so I immediately violated my recent vow and put up a scientific wild-ass guess. I'm thinking Kerry in a squeaker, with a solid Northeast and surprising gains in the Southwest and the old Rust Belt; he loses the whole South unless you count West Virginia. I didn't give him Missouri, Virginia or Florida; did give him Pennsylvania, Ohio, WV, NH, Nevada and Arizona. I wouldn't bet a lot on any of this.

It looks as if several other people are thinking along the same lines as me right now. Of course these things vary with the flavor of the month. There are links to the most extremely slanted predictions; those are amusing to look at. I also think it's funny that the average prediction map just tracks the 2000-election-based default settings precisely.