More infallible political predictions
Jun. 9th, 2004 08:59 am1. Over the next couple of weeks we will see yet another round of "Bush surging again" articles in the newspapers.
2. They will have an extremely thin factual basis: small upticks in several job-approval polls (Fox's might even top 50 percent!) combined with the authors' horse sense of what ought to be happening in the wake of the Reagan funeral.
3. Nevertheless, they will produce an outbreak of depressive moaning from Democrats.
4. The whole episode will be forgotten by July.
2. They will have an extremely thin factual basis: small upticks in several job-approval polls (Fox's might even top 50 percent!) combined with the authors' horse sense of what ought to be happening in the wake of the Reagan funeral.
3. Nevertheless, they will produce an outbreak of depressive moaning from Democrats.
4. The whole episode will be forgotten by July.